Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 105.863317 117.221997 128.780410 141.392733 154.738364 168.411721 183.451638
2024-12-15 87.692472 104.184145 121.656110 141.426599 163.061162 185.908537 211.753706
2024-12-22 75.584205 94.813466 115.814485 140.211199 167.540478 196.996874 230.934567
2024-12-29 68.119539 89.539840 113.541950 142.030702 174.543343 210.145802 251.739550
2025-01-05 62.434521 85.623343 112.209078 144.358643 181.632901 222.990475 271.860926
2025-01-12 55.722310 79.875319 108.225128 143.153646 184.280474 230.494179 285.695051
2025-01-19 49.016445 73.585796 103.128974 140.213588 184.545027 234.970686 295.822280
2025-01-26 46.732857 72.601403 104.259850 144.532554 193.188469 249.001131 316.825874
2025-02-02 44.132845 70.989082 104.442465 147.559988 200.191510 261.053834 335.507488
2025-02-09 39.879064 66.904933 101.287255 146.286188 201.868165 266.734702 346.681678
2025-02-16 36.044208 63.109745 98.275594 144.993798 203.359130 272.069162 357.349170
2025-02-23 33.524891 60.946501 97.231700 146.053454 207.629602 280.643053 371.786789
2025-03-02 30.910874 58.514394 95.755173 146.529715 211.196854 288.437797 385.418804
2025-03-09 28.717140 56.542330 94.785750 147.579183 215.428436 297.015241 399.994141
2025-03-16 25.872918 53.395182 92.058018 146.200479 216.502394 301.678202 409.821436
2025-03-23 24.346128 52.142214 91.857841 148.084422 221.658356 311.299811 425.608402
2025-03-30 23.095781 51.229845 92.070036 150.470547 227.426821 321.664303 442.302224
2025-04-06 20.850039 48.558366 89.661774 149.234623 228.469489 326.144391 451.820393
2025-04-13 18.293748 45.161803 86.044582 146.217935 227.096361 327.540330 457.509958
2025-04-20 17.942215 45.478291 87.854878 150.649211 235.434979 341.067792 478.080963
2025-04-27 17.266781 45.179830 88.720502 153.754596 242.032272 352.424088 496.009881
2025-05-04 15.538014 42.876098 86.478552 152.448073 242.760592 356.364612 504.781655
2025-05-11 13.943607 40.672178 84.283563 151.122372 243.397870 360.143524 513.321460